American Research Group, Inc.

Michigan

Presidential Primary Preference:

 

Michigan
Likely Republican Primary Voters Jan 2007 Feb 2007 May 2007 Sep 2007 Jan 9-11 Jan 12-14
Brownback - - - 1% ni ni
Gilmore - - - ni ni ni
Giuliani 34% 30% 19% 13% 5% 5%
Gingrich 9% 9% 7% 7% ni ni
Hagel - 1% - ni ni ni
Huckabee 2% 1% 2% 4% 15% 19%
Hunter - - - 1% - -
McCain 24% 35% 22% 9% 34% 31%
Pataki - - - ni ni ni
Paul ni - - 1% 9% 9%
Romney 10% 8% 24% 39% 27% 30%
Tancredo ni 1% 1% - ni ni
F Thompson ni ni 8% 12% 4% 4%
T Thompson 7% 1% 2% ni ni ni
Undecided 14% 15% 15% 13% 6% 4%

Please note that Alan Keyes is not on the Michigan ballot.

Preference by party:

 

Michigan
Likely Republican Primary Voters Republicans (80%) Independents (20%)
Giuliani 4% -
Huckabee 19% 21%
Hunter - -
McCain 30% 37%
Paul 8% 15%
Romney 33% 16%
Thompson 3% 7%
Undecided 3% 4%

 

About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in Michigan (477 Republicans and 123 independent voters).

Sample Dates: January 12-14, 2008

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2008 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and  Fred Thompson, for whom would you vote?

Would you say that you definitely plan to vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, that you might vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, or that you will probably not vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary?

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