February 23, 2015
Obama Job Approvals and the National Economy
|Obama Job Approval Ratings
A total of 46% of Americans say they approve of the way Barack
Obama is handling
job as president and 49% say they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job.
In January, 47% of Americans approved
of the job Obama was doing and 48% disapproved.
When it comes to Obama's handling
of the economy, 45% of Americans approve and 50% disapprove.
In January, 49% approved and 49% disapproved.
A total of 39% of Americans say the national economy is getting worse, up from 30% in January. Of the 49% of Americans saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, 68% say the national economy is getting worse.
Americans registered to
47% approve of the way Obama is handling his job
as president and 49% disapprove. On Obama's handling of the economy, 45% of registered
approve and 50% disapprove.
Details from the nationwide survey conducted February
17-20 are available at The National
February 17, 2015
2014 NFL Prediction
Accuracy - Worse Than Guessing
Updated results, including reliability tables, assessing
the accuracy of Microsoft's Cortana
and Nate Silver's fivethirtyeight.com Elo
predictions for the 2014 NFL season are available here.
Both models performed worse than guessing
in the second week of the season, invalidating the models.
While the Elo model finished the season with
a slightly better Brier score, the Cortana model's favorites won more games and the Cortana
model was less prone than the Elo model to over and under-forecasting and therefore less bias.
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