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March 23, 2017

Trump and Sununu Job Approvals in New Hampshire

 

Trump Job Approval Ratings in NH
3/22/2017 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 31% 61% 8%
Economy 28% 58% 14%

 

Sununu Job Approval Ratings
3/22/2017 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 31% 30% 39%
Economy 26% 23% 51%

 

Results from the March 2017 Quarterly New Hampshire Poll are now available. NH residents rate NH business conditions, their personal finances, Chris Sununu, and Donald Trump.

 


 

March 21, 2017

Trump Job Approvals and the National Economy

 

Trump Job Approval Ratings
3/20/17 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 41% 54% 5%
Economy 42% 53% 5%

 

A total of 41% of Americans say they approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president and 54% say they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job. In February, 43% approved and 51% disapproved.

When it comes to Trump's handling of the economy, 42% of Americans approve and 53% disapprove. In February, 43% approved and 50% disapproved.

Among Americans registered to vote, 41% approve of the way Trump is handling his job as president and 54% disapprove. On Trump's handling of the economy, 43% of registered voters approve and 53% disapprove.

Details from the nationwide survey conducted March 17-20 are available at The National Economy.

 


 

December 21, 2016

2016 US Presidential Election Pollster Ratings

 

The following table lists the accuracy of pollsters in the November 8, 2016 US Presidential election using the measure of polling accuracy proposed by Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy.

An accuracy measure of 0.00 indicates that the odds ratio of the survey results matches the odds ratio of the actual results (the closer to 0.00, the better).

 

2016 Presidential Election - National Popular Vote
Clinton Trump Odds
Ratio
Accuracy
McClatchy/Marist 46% 44% 1.00 0.00 
Politico/Morning Consult 51% 48% 1.02 0.02 
ABC/Post 49% 46% 1.02 0.02 
UPI/CVOTER 49% 46% 1.02 0.02 
IBD/TIPP 43% 42% 0.98 -0.02 
Bloomberg/Selzer 46% 43% 1.02 0.02 
YouGov 49% 45% 1.04 0.04 
Fox 48% 44% 1.04 0.04 
CBS/Times 47% 43% 1.05 0.04 
Gravis/OANN 50% 50% 0.96 -0.04 
Ipsos/Reuters 44% 39% 1.08 0.08 
Monmouth 50% 44% 1.09 0.08 
NBC/SurveyMonkey 51% 44% 1.11 0.10*
USC/LA Times 43.6% 46.8% 0.89 -0.12*
Actual 48.2% 46.1%

 

*The accuracy measures for the NBC/SurveyMonkey poll (sample size of 70,194) and the USC/LA Times poll (sample size of 2,972) fall outside the 95% confidence intervals.

The accuracy measures for the other 12 polls fall within their respective 95% confidence intervals.

The absolute average accuracy for all 14 polls in 2016 is 0.046.

The absolute average accuracy for the 12 polls with accuracy measures that fall within the 95% confidence intervals is 0.036.

The absolute average accuracy for all polls in the 2012 presidential election was 0.055. The average absolute accuracy for the 22 polls in 2012 falling within their respective 95% confidence intervals was 0.052.

The absolute average accuracy for all polls in the 2008 presidential election was 0.037. The accuracy measures for all polls in 2008 fell within their respective 95% confidence intervals.

 


 

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