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February 23, 2015

Obama Job Approvals and the National Economy

 

Obama Job Approval Ratings
02/20/15 Approve Disapprove Undecided
Overall 46% 49% 5%
Economy 45% 50% 5%

A total of 46% of Americans say they approve of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president and 49% say they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job. In January, 47% of Americans approved of the job Obama was doing and 48% disapproved.

When it comes to Obama's handling of the economy, 45% of Americans approve and 50% disapprove. In January, 49% approved and 49% disapproved.

A total of 39% of Americans say the national economy is getting worse, up from 30% in January. Of the 49% of Americans saying they disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, 68% say the national economy is getting worse.

Among Americans registered to vote, 47% approve of the way Obama is handling his job as president and 49% disapprove. On Obama's handling of the economy, 45% of registered voters approve and 50% disapprove.

Details from the nationwide survey conducted February 17-20 are available at The National Economy.

 


 

February 17, 2015

2014 NFL Prediction Accuracy - Worse Than Guessing

Updated results, including reliability tables, assessing the accuracy of Microsoft's Cortana and Nate Silver's fivethirtyeight.com Elo predictions for the 2014 NFL season are available here.

Both models performed worse than guessing in the second week of the season, invalidating the models.

While the Elo model finished the season with a slightly better Brier score, the Cortana model's favorites won more games and the Cortana model was less prone than the Elo model to over and under-forecasting and therefore less bias.

 


 

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