|
2011 West Virginia Special
Gubernatorial Primary Election
Pollster
Ratings The following table
lists the
accuracy of pollsters in the May 14, 2011 special gubernatorial
primary election in West Virginia using the measure of polling accuracy
proposed
by Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy.
| Republican Primary
|
|
Maloney |
Ireland |
Odds
Ratio |
Accuracy |
| PPP |
32% |
31% |
0.71 |
-0.35 |
|
| Actual |
45.11% |
30.91% |
|
|
| Democratic Primary
|
|
Tomblin |
Thompson |
Odds
Ratio |
Accuracy |
| PPP |
33% |
20% |
1.13 |
0.12 |
|
| Actual |
40.37% |
24.11% |
|
|
The accuracy measures for both primaries
fall within the 95% confidence interval.
|
