|
2011 Ohio Senate Bill
5 Repeal
Pollster
Ratings The following table
lists the
accuracy of pollsters in the November 8, 2011 election
for
the Ohio Senate Bill 5 repeal using the measure
of polling accuracy
proposed
by Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy.
| Ohio Senate Bill 5 Repeal
|
|
Yes |
No |
Odds
Ratio |
Accuracy |
| PPP |
36% |
59% |
0.97 |
-0.03 |
| Quinnipiac |
32% |
57% |
0.89 |
-0.12 |
|
| Actual |
38.7% |
61.3% |
|
|
The accuracy measure
for the Public Policy Polling survey is within the 95% confidence
interval.
The accuracy measure for the Quinnipiac survey
falls outside the 95% confidence interval. The Quinnipiac sample size of 1,668 did not increase
the accuracy of the survey.
|
