|
2011 New York 9th CD
Special Election
Pollster
Ratings The following table
lists the
accuracy of pollsters in the September 13, 2011 special election
for
the New York 9th Congressional District using the measure
of polling accuracy
proposed
by Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy.
| NY 9th CD
|
|
Turner |
Weprin |
Odds
Ratio |
Accuracy |
| Magellan |
44.6% |
40.4% |
1.00 |
0.00 |
| Siena |
50% |
44% |
1.02 |
0.02 |
| PPP |
47% |
41% |
1.03 |
0.03 |
|
| Actual |
51.7% |
46.6% |
|
|
The accuracy measures
for the three surveys are within the 95% confidence interval.
|
