American Research Group, Inc.

 

2011 Mississippi Personhood Question Pollster Ratings

The following table lists the accuracy of pollsters in the November 8, 2011 election for the Mississippi personhood question using the measure of polling accuracy proposed by Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy.  

Mississippi Personhood Question
Yes No Odds
Ratio
Accuracy
PPP 45% 44% 1.41 0.35
Actual 42% 58%

 

The accuracy measure for the Public Policy Polling survey falls outside the 95% confidence interval.

 

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