Arizona
Presidential Primary Preference:
| Arizona |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Feb 13-14
2012 |
|
|
| Gingrich |
15% |
| Paul |
11% |
| Romney |
38% |
| Santorum |
31% |
| Other |
* |
| Undecided |
5% |
Mitt Romney leads in the
Arizona Republican presidential primary with 38%. Romney is followed by Rick Santorum with 31%, Newt Gingrich with 15%, and Ron Paul with 11%.
In a similar survey conducted January 25-26,
2012, Romney was tied with Gingrich at 32% each, followed by Paul with 12% and Santorum with
10%. Santorum has increased support among men from 9% in the January survey to 37% in the latest
survey and Santorum has increased support among women from 11% in the January survey to 24%
in the latest survey. Romney leads Santorum 37% to 32% among likely
Republican primary voters saying they will definitely or probably vote in the February 28 primary. Romney
leads Gingrich 61% to 17% among the 4% of Republican primary voters saying they have already voted.
Romney leads
with 41% among
likely Republican
primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party,
followed by Santorum with 34%, Gingrich with 10%, and Paul
with 7%. Among likely primary voters saying they are
not supporters of the Tea Party
or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 35%,
followed by Santorum with 28%, Gingrich with 20%, and Paul with
15%.
Santorum leads Romney 37% to 30% among men,
followed
by Gingrich with 17% and Paul with 13%. Romney leads Santorum
47% to 24% among women, followed by Gingrich
with 13% and Paul with 9%.
Comparisons to past surveys:
| Arizona |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Jan 25-26
2012 |
Feb
13-14
2012 |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
32% |
15% |
| Paul |
12% |
11% |
| Romney |
32% |
38% |
| Santorum |
10% |
31% |
| Other |
2% |
* |
| Undecided |
12% |
5% |
Preference
by early vote:
| Arizona |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Definitely/Probably (96%) |
Have voted (4%)** |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
15% |
17% |
| Paul |
11% |
13% |
| Romney |
37% |
61% |
| Santorum |
32% |
9% |
| Other |
* |
- |
| Undecided |
5% |
- |
Preference by Tea Party
support:
| Arizona |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Supporter (48%) |
Not/Undecided (52%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
10% |
20% |
| Paul |
7% |
15% |
| Romney |
41% |
35% |
| Santorum |
34% |
28% |
| Other |
- |
* |
| Undecided |
8% |
2% |
Preference by sex:
| Arizona |
Likely Republican
Primary Voters |
Male (54%) |
Female (46%) |
|
|
|
| Gingrich |
17% |
13% |
| Paul |
13% |
9% |
| Romney |
30% |
47% |
| Santorum |
37% |
24% |
| Other |
* |
- |
| Undecided |
3% |
7% |
About this Survey -
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc. The
American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since
1985. Sample
Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample
of likely Republican primary voters living in Arizona (600 registered Republicans).
** Please note that only 23 respondents (4%
of the total sample) say that they have already voted using early voting. Sample
Dates: February 13-14, 2012 Margin of Error: ±
4 percentage
points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion
is evenly split. An "*" in the tables indicates responses of less than 1/2
of 1 percent. Question Wording:
If the 2012 Republican presidential preference
primary were
being held today between (names rotated) Newt Gingrich, Ron
Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum,
for whom would you
vote?
Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of
the Tea Party movement, or not? Using a scale of 1 to
10, with 1 meaning that you will
definitely not vote in the
2012 Republican presidential primary and 10 meaning
that
you will definitely vote in the 2012 Republican presidential
primary, what number would
you give as your chance of voting in the 2012 Republican
presidential primary?
|
