American Research Group, Inc.

New Hampshire

Presidential Primary Preference:

 

New Hampshire
Likely Democratic Primary Voters Nov 26-29 Dec 16-19 Dec 27-29 Jan 1-3 Jan 4-5 Jan 5-6 Jan 6-7
Biden 3% 4% 3% 2% ni ni ni
Clinton 34% 38% 31% 35% 26% 28% 31%
Dodd 2% 2% 1% 1% ni ni ni
Edwards 17% 15% 21% 15% 20% 22% 20%
Gravel 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1%
Kucinich 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2%
Obama 23% 24% 27% 31% 38% 39% 40%
Richardson 10% 5% 5% 5% 3% 4% 4%
Undecided 8% 9% 8% 8% 9% 3% 2%

 

 

New Hampshire
Likely Democratic Primary Voters Dec 06 Jan 07 Feb 07 Mar 07 Apr 07 May 07 Jun 07 Jul 07 Aug 07 Sep 07 Oct 07
Biden 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 2% 4% 3% 4%
Clark 2% 2% 2% 1% - 1% 1% - ni ni ni
Clinton 27% 39% 38% 37% 37% 34% 34% 31% 37% 41% 40%
Dodd 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3%
Edwards 18% 13% 19% 20% 26% 18% 11% 14% 14% 10% 10%
Gravel - - - - - 1% 2% - 1% - -
Kerry 6% ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni
Kucinich 4% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3%
Obama 21% 19% 20% 23% 14% 15% 25% 31% 17% 22% 22%
Richardson 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 9% 6% 7% 7% 8% 5%
Vilsack 1% 1% ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni ni
Undecided 17% 21% 16% 12% 15% 14% 11% 13% 16% 12% 13%

 

Preference by party:

 

New Hampshire
Likely Democratic Primary Voters Democrats (63%) Undeclared (37%)
Clinton 34% 25%
Edwards 21% 18%
Gravel - 3%
Kucinich 1% 3%
Obama 37% 44%
Richardson 4% 3%
Undecided 3% 4%

 


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic primary voters living in New Hampshire (375 Democrats and 225 undeclared (independent) voters).

Sample Dates: January 6-7, 2008

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2008 Democratic presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote?

Would you say that you definitely plan to vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary, that you might vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary, or that you will probably not vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary?

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