American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

December 19, 2011

Quarterly Survey – December 2011

The following results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of adults in New Hampshire. Of the 600 interviews, 551 interviews were among registered voters (171 Republicans, 160 Democrats, and 220 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted December 11 through 16, 2011.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 551 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

How do you rate the present business conditions here in New Hampshire - would you say good, normal, or bad?

  Good Normal Bad Undecided
Total sample 14% 46% 29% 11%
Voters 16% 42% 32% 10%
9/11 10% 41% 33% 16%
6/11 9% 41% 41% 9%
3/11 13% 35% 47% 5%
12/10 15% 37% 33% 15%
9/10 11% 49% 31% 9%
6/10 13% 40% 37% 10%
3/10 9% 42% 42% 7%
12/09 12% 25% 52% 11%
9/09 8% 36% 46% 10%
6/09 5% 31% 47% 17%
3/09 14% 21% 59% 6%
12/08 9% 38% 48% 5%
9/08 12% 62% 26% -
6/08 7% 39% 44% 10%
3/08 6% 41% 43% 10%
12/07 18% 49% 31% 2%
9/07 22% 56% 10% 12%
6/07 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/07 36% 48% 9% 7%
12/06 14% 59% 22% 5%
9/06 35% 47% 9% 9%
6/06 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/06 25% 50% 21% 4%
12/05 21% 54% 18% 7%
9/05 31% 51% 15% 3%
6/05 25% 50% 23% 1%
3/05 24% 50% 25% 1%
12/04 21% 55% 22% 2%
9/04 29% 51% 20% -
6/04 24% 60% 10% 6%
3/04 13% 60% 22% 5%
12/03 29% 51% 20% -
9/03 10% 62% 22% 6%
6/03 22% 46% 22% 10%
3/03 21% 51% 24% 4%
12/02 19% 62% 16% 3%
9/02 19% 53% 25% 3%
6/02 33% 58% 5% 4%
3/02 35% 43% 22% -
12/01 37% 51% 10% 2%
9/01 22% 56% 19% 3%
6/01 40% 52% 7% 1%
3/01 51% 46% 3% -
12/00 69% 30% 1% -
9/00 64% 28% 4% 4%
6/00 55% 40% 1% 3%
3/00 70% 28% 2% -
12/99 58% 37% 5% -
9/99 71% 28% 1% -
6/99 64% 22% 3% 1%
3/99 76% 20% 3% 1%

 

Six months from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 34% 38% 22% 6%
Voters 33% 41% 20% 7%
9/11 15% 40% 36% 9%
6/11 21% 50% 20% 9%
3/11 23% 42% 22% 13%
12/10 41% 38% 14% 7%
9/10 34% 43% 15% 8%
6/10 36% 34% 22% 8%
3/10 32% 46% 18% 4%
12/09 26% 46% 22% 6%
9/09 29% 37% 26% 8%
6/09 24% 34% 27% 15%
3/09 32% 38% 25% 5%
12/08 18% 46% 33% 3%
9/08 3% 29% 56% 12%
6/08 15% 35% 43% 7%
3/08 8% 32% 56% 4%
12/07 9% 40% 44% 7%
9/07 10% 56% 27% 7%
6/07 8% 56% 17% 19%
3/07 15% 55% 20% 10%
12/06 5% 65% 16% 14%
9/06 21% 51% 23% 5%
6/06 7% 73% 17% 3%
3/06 13% 54% 25% 8%
12/05 10% 54% 23% 13%
9/05 13% 45% 29% 13%
6/05 15% 49% 30% 6%
3/05 14% 55% 22% 9%
12/04 17% 61% 15% 7%
9/04 12% 70% 8% 10%
6/04 41% 40% 12% 7%
3/04 34% 44% 10% 12%
12/03 39% 50% 6% 5%
9/03 27% 54% 14% 5%
6/03 39% 39% 20% 2%
3/03 30% 40% 22% 8%
12/02 33% 55% 6% 6%
9/02 38% 38% 15% 9%
6/02 28% 49% 20% 3%
3/02 32% 52% 11% 5%
12/01 35% 45% 15% 5%
9/01 23% 44% 28% 5%
6/01 25% 50% 17% 8%
3/01 12% 48% 26% 14%
12/00 10% 67% 14% 19%
9/00 16% 64% 8% 12%
6/00 25% 61% 9% 6%
3/00 15% 77% 4% 4%
12/99 20% 57% 14% 9%
9/99 5% 83% 8% 4%
6/99 17% 65% 9% 9%
3/99 15% 69% 3% 13%

 

A year from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 38% 35% 13% 14%
Voters 42% 34% 14% 10%
9/11 30% 30% 30% 10%
6/11 37% 31% 22% 10%
3/11 35% 28% 23% 14%
12/10 48% 31% 15% 6%
9/10 46% 31% 12% 11%
6/10 42% 31% 16% 11%
3/10 48% 30% 15% 7%
12/09 41% 36% 18% 5%
9/09 44% 30% 17% 9%
6/09 47% 15% 20% 18%
3/09 37% 35% 16% 12%
12/08 40% 30% 23% 7%
9/08 26% 29% 35% 10%
6/08 27% 34% 30% 9%
3/08 14% 32% 34% 20%
12/07 22% 19% 33% 26%
9/07 21% 48% 25% 6%
6/07 12% 42% 21% 25%
3/07 20% 45% 12% 23%
12/06 16% 43% 27% 14%
9/06 30% 35% 25% 10%
6/06 17% 43% 33% 7%
3/06 25% 38% 25% 12%
12/05 18% 31% 33% 18%
9/05 22% 31% 33% 14%
6/05 21% 30% 42% 7%
3/05 33% 32% 26% 9%
12/04 41% 38% 11% 10%
9/04 47% 16% 5% 32%
6/04 40% 27% 6% 27%
3/04 43% 25% 7% 25%
12/03 50% 31% 10% 9%
9/03 56% 21% 12% 11%
6/03 62% 18% 11% 9%
3/03 51% 27% 8% 14%
12/02 52% 27% 3% 18%
9/02 50% 21% 12% 17%
6/02 54% 35% 5% 6%
3/02 46% 24% 11% 9%
12/01 54% 32% 8% 6%
9/01 47% 24% 17% 12%
6/01 40% 34% 14% 12%
3/01 19% 25% 34% 22%
12/00 16% 45% 23% 16%
9/00 25% 40% 12% 23%
6/00 30% 29% 18% 23%
3/00 25% 48% 7% 20%
12/99 25% 39% 14% 22%
9/99 20% 50% 18% 12%
6/99 21% 46% 11% 22%
3/99 21% 49% 7% 23%

 

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