American Research Group, Inc.
The New Hampshire Poll

June 30, 2010

Quarterly Survey – June 2010

The following results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of adults in New Hampshire. Of the 600 interviews, 551 interviews were among registered voters (160 Republicans, 161 Democrats, and 230 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted June 26 through 29, 2010.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 551 registered voters is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

How do you rate the present business conditions here in New Hampshire - would you say good, normal, or bad?

  Good Normal Bad Undecided
Total sample 13% 40% 37% 10%
Voters 13% 43% 33% 11%
3/10 9% 42% 42% 7%
12/09 12% 25% 52% 11%
9/09 8% 36% 46% 10%
6/09 5% 31% 47% 17%
3/09 14% 21% 59% 6%
12/08 9% 38% 48% 5%
9/08 12% 62% 26% -
6/08 7% 39% 44% 10%
3/08 6% 41% 43% 10%
12/07 18% 49% 31% 2%
9/07 22% 56% 10% 12%
6/07 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/07 36% 48% 9% 7%
12/06 14% 59% 22% 5%
9/06 35% 47% 9% 9%
6/06 30% 50% 13% 7%
3/06 25% 50% 21% 4%
12/05 21% 54% 18% 7%
9/05 31% 51% 15% 3%
6/05 25% 50% 23% 1%
3/05 24% 50% 25% 1%
12/04 21% 55% 22% 2%
9/04 29% 51% 20% -
6/04 24% 60% 10% 6%
3/04 13% 60% 22% 5%
12/03 29% 51% 20% -
9/03 10% 62% 22% 6%
6/03 22% 46% 22% 10%
3/03 21% 51% 24% 4%
12/02 19% 62% 16% 3%
9/02 19% 53% 25% 3%
6/02 33% 58% 5% 4%
3/02 35% 43% 22% -
12/01 37% 51% 10% 2%
9/01 22% 56% 19% 3%
6/01 40% 52% 7% 1%
3/01 51% 46% 3% -
12/00 69% 30% 1% -
9/00 64% 28% 4% 4%
6/00 55% 40% 1% 3%
3/00 70% 28% 2% -
12/99 58% 37% 5% -
9/99 71% 28% 1% -
6/99 64% 22% 3% 1%
3/99 76% 20% 3% 1%

 

Six months from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 36% 34% 22% 8%
Voters 40% 32% 19% 9%
3/10 32% 46% 18% 4%
12/09 26% 46% 22% 6%
9/09 29% 37% 26% 8%
6/09 24% 34% 27% 15%
3/09 32% 38% 25% 5%
12/08 18% 46% 33% 3%
9/08 3% 29% 56% 12%
6/08 15% 35% 43% 7%
3/08 8% 32% 56% 4%
12/07 9% 40% 44% 7%
9/07 10% 56% 27% 7%
6/07 8% 56% 17% 19%
3/07 15% 55% 20% 10%
12/06 5% 65% 16% 14%
9/06 21% 51% 23% 5%
6/06 7% 73% 17% 3%
3/06 13% 54% 25% 8%
12/05 10% 54% 23% 13%
9/05 13% 45% 29% 13%
6/05 15% 49% 30% 6%
3/05 14% 55% 22% 9%
12/04 17% 61% 15% 7%
9/04 12% 70% 8% 10%
6/04 41% 40% 12% 7%
3/04 34% 44% 10% 12%
12/03 39% 50% 6% 5%
9/03 27% 54% 14% 5%
6/03 39% 39% 20% 2%
3/03 30% 40% 22% 8%
12/02 33% 55% 6% 6%
9/02 38% 38% 15% 9%
6/02 28% 49% 20% 3%
3/02 32% 52% 11% 5%
12/01 35% 45% 15% 5%
9/01 23% 44% 28% 5%
6/01 25% 50% 17% 8%
3/01 12% 48% 26% 14%
12/00 10% 67% 14% 19%
9/00 16% 64% 8% 12%
6/00 25% 61% 9% 6%
3/00 15% 77% 4% 4%
12/99 20% 57% 14% 9%
9/99 5% 83% 8% 4%
6/99 17% 65% 9% 9%
3/99 15% 69% 3% 13%

 

A year from now do you think business conditions will be better, the same, or worse?

 

Better

The same

Worse

Undecided

Total sample 42% 31% 16% 11%
Voters 44% 29% 17% 10%
3/10 48% 30% 15% 7%
12/09 41% 36% 18% 5%
9/09 44% 30% 17% 9%
6/09 47% 15% 20% 18%
3/09 37% 35% 16% 12%
12/08 40% 30% 23% 7%
9/08 26% 29% 35% 10%
6/08 27% 34% 30% 9%
3/08 14% 32% 34% 20%
12/07 22% 19% 33% 26%
9/07 21% 48% 25% 6%
6/07 12% 42% 21% 25%
3/07 20% 45% 12% 23%
12/06 16% 43% 27% 14%
9/06 30% 35% 25% 10%
6/06 17% 43% 33% 7%
3/06 25% 38% 25% 12%
12/05 18% 31% 33% 18%
9/05 22% 31% 33% 14%
6/05 21% 30% 42% 7%
3/05 33% 32% 26% 9%
12/04 41% 38% 11% 10%
9/04 47% 16% 5% 32%
6/04 40% 27% 6% 27%
3/04 43% 25% 7% 25%
12/03 50% 31% 10% 9%
9/03 56% 21% 12% 11%
6/03 62% 18% 11% 9%
3/03 51% 27% 8% 14%
12/02 52% 27% 3% 18%
9/02 50% 21% 12% 17%
6/02 54% 35% 5% 6%
3/02 46% 24% 11% 9%
12/01 54% 32% 8% 6%
9/01 47% 24% 17% 12%
6/01 40% 34% 14% 12%
3/01 19% 25% 34% 22%
12/00 16% 45% 23% 16%
9/00 25% 40% 12% 23%
6/00 30% 29% 18% 23%
3/00 25% 48% 7% 20%
12/99 25% 39% 14% 22%
9/99 20% 50% 18% 12%
6/99 21% 46% 11% 22%
3/99 21% 49% 7% 23%

 

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