American Research Group, Inc.

 

October 22, 2018

Trump Overall Job Approval Up

A total of 42% of Americans say they approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president and 55% say they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job according to the latest survey from the American Research Group. In September, 37% approved and 59% disapproved.

When it comes to Trump's handling of the economy, 41% of Americans approve and 54% disapprove. In September, 39% approved and 55% disapproved.

Among Americans registered to vote, 42% approve of the way Trump is handling his job as president and 55% disapprove. On Trump's handling of the economy, 42% of registered voters approve and 54% disapprove.

This is the highest overall job approval for Trump since his second month in office in March 2017 when 41% of Americans approved of the way he was handling his job and 54% disapproved. Trump's highest job approval was after his first month in office in February 2017 when 43% of Americans approved of the way Trump was handling his job and 51% disapproved.

As comparisons, Barack Obama's overall job approval in October 2010 was 43% approve and 48% disapprove and George W. Bush's overall approval in October 2002 was 55% approve and 39% disapprove.

The results presented here are based on 1,100 completed interviews conducted among a nationwide random sample of adults 18 years and older (see methodology for details). The interviews were completed October 17 through 20, 2018. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Overall, 42% of Americans say that they approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president, 55% disapprove, and 3% are undecided.

Trump job approval Approve Disapprove Undecided
Oct 2018 42% 55% 3%
Sep 2018 37% 59% 4%
Aug 2018 36% 59% 5%
Jul 2018 37% 57% 6%
Jun 2018 40% 54% 6%
May 2018 37% 58% 5%
Apr 2018 38% 56% 6%
Mar 2018 39% 56% 5%
Feb 2018 36% 60% 4%
Jan 2018 35% 60% 5%
Dec 2017 34% 62% 4%
Nov 2017 35% 61% 4%
Oct 2017 34% 61% 5%

Among Republicans (26% of adults registered to vote in the survey and 24% of all adults in the survey), 90% approve of the way Trump is handling his job and 7% disapprove. Among Democrats (35% of adults registered to vote in the survey and 32% of all adults in the survey), 9% approve and 89% disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job. Among independents (39% of adults registered to vote in the survey and 36% of all adults in the survey), 39% approve and 56% disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job as president.

Overall, 41% of Americans say that they approve of the way Donald Trump is handling the economy, 54% disapprove, and 5% are undecided. Among registered voters, 42% approve and 54% disapprove of the way Trump is handling the economy.

Trump handling the economy Approve Disapprove Undecided
Oct 2018 41% 54% 5%
Sep 2018 39% 55% 6%
Aug 2018 40% 55% 5%
Jul 2018 42% 52% 6%
Jun 2018 41% 52% 7%
May 2018 38% 57% 5%
Apr 2018 35% 58% 7%
Mar 2018 39% 54% 7%
Feb 2018 37% 57% 6%
Jan 2018 37% 58% 5%
Dec 2017 34% 60% 6%
Nov 2017 36% 56% 8%
Oct 2017 34% 57% 9%

Among Republicans, 89% approve of the way Trump is handling the economy and 8% disapprove. Among Democrats, 11% approve of the way Trump is handling the economy and 84% disapprove. Among independents, 38% approve and 58% disapprove of the way Trump is handling the economy.

A total of 39% of Americans say that the national economy is getting better, 22% say it is staying the same, and 35% say the national economy is getting worse.

National economy

Getting better

Staying the same

Getting worse

Undecided

Oct 2018 39% 22% 35% 4%
Sep 2018 34% 29% 33% 4%
Aug 2018 34% 24% 36% 6%
Jul 2018 34% 29% 32% 5%
Jun 2018 37% 30% 28% 5%
May 2018 36% 30% 30% 4%
Apr 2018 39% 22% 35% 4%
Mar 2018 38% 23% 35% 4%
Feb 2018 35% 28% 34% 3%
Jan 2018 35% 27% 33% 5%
Dec 2017 34% 25% 36% 5%
Nov 2017 32% 41% 23% 4%
Oct 2017 33% 40% 23% 4%

Among those saying they approve of the way Trump is handling his job, 86% say getting better, 6% say staying the same, and 4% say getting worse. Of those saying they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job, 5% say getting better, 33% say staying the same, and 57% say getting worse.

A total of 33% of Americans say they believe the national economy will be better a year from now, 22% say it will be the same, and 37% say it will be worse.

National economy a year from now

Better than today

The same as today

Worse than today

Undecided

Oct 2018 33% 22% 37% 8%
Sep 2018 29% 26% 37% 8%
Aug 2018 33% 19% 40% 8%
Jul 2018 35% 24% 32% 9%
Jun 2018 38% 24% 31% 7%
May 2018 38% 25% 32% 5%
Apr 2018 38% 19% 35% 8%
Mar 2018 39% 17% 35% 9%
Feb 2018 35% 17% 38% 10%
Jan 2018 37% 15% 39% 9%
Dec 2017 39% 15% 37% 9%
Nov 2017 42% 18% 31% 9%
Oct 2017 38% 14% 41% 7%

Among those saying they approve of the way Trump is handling his job, 78% say better, 8% say the same as today, and 6% say worse than today. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job as president, less than 1% say better, 32% say the same, and 60% say worse.

Overall, 16% of Americans say they believe that the national economy is in a recession, 66% say they do not believe the economy is in a recession, and 18% are undecided.

National economy in a recession Yes No Undecided
Oct 2018 16% 66% 18%
Sep 2018 15% 66% 19%
Aug 2018 17% 63% 20%
Jul 2018 16% 63% 21%
Jun 2018 14% 66% 20%
May 2018 11% 66% 23%
Apr 2018 9% 64% 27%
Mar 2018 11% 61% 28%
Feb 2018 11% 61% 28%
Jan 2018 10% 63% 27%
Dec 2017 17% 61% 22%
Nov 2017 22% 57% 21%
Oct 2017 21% 56% 23%

Among those saying they approve of the way Trump is handling his job, 6% say the national economy is in a recession, 84% say the national economy is not in a recession, and 10% are undecided. Of those saying they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job, 24% say the national economy is in a recession, 54% say the national economy is not in a recession, and 22% are undecided.

A total of 69% of Americans rate the national economy as excellent, very good, or good and 27% rate it as bad, very bad, or terrible.

National economy

Excellent

Very good

Good

Bad

Very bad

Terrible

Undecided

Oct 2018 19% 15% 35% 21% 2% 4% 4%
Sep 2018 13% 16% 36% 23% 2% 3% 7%
Aug 2018 12% 17% 35% 24% 4% 4% 4%
Jul 2018 13% 16% 40% 20% 4% 4% 3%
Jun 2018 15% 20% 37% 18% 4% 3% 3%
May 2018 14% 19% 37% 21% 4% 2% 3%
Apr 2018 16% 22% 37% 17% 5% 2% 1%
Mar 2018 18% 18% 36% 19% 4% 1% 4%
Feb 2018 17% 16% 35% 20% 5% 2% 5%
Jan 2018 16% 18% 35% 19% 5% 3% 4%
Dec 2017 9% 19% 39% 20% 5% 5% 3%
Nov 2017 7% 20% 47% 15% 4% 6% 1%
Oct 2017 7% 20% 49% 13% 2% 4% 5%

Among those saying they approve of the way Trump is handling his job, 90% say very good, or good and 6% say bad, very bad, or terrible. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job, 53% say very good, or good and 42% say bad, very bad, or terrible.

When it comes to rating their household financial situations, 76% of Americans give an excellent, very good, or good rating and 20% give a bad, very bad, or terrible rating.

Household financial situation

Excellent

Very good

Good

Bad

Very bad

Terrible

Undecided

Oct 2018 11% 22% 43% 15% 2% 3% 4%
Sep 2018 10% 15% 49% 14% 2% 3% 7%
Aug 2018 11% 14% 50% 12% 6% 2% 5%
Jul 2018 9% 13% 52% 15% 7% 2% 2%
Jun 2018 11% 15% 49% 15% 6% 2% 2%
May 2018 10% 14% 51% 15% 6% 1% 3%
Apr 2018 10% 18% 47% 14% 3% 1% 7%
Mar 2018 12% 20% 44% 15% 2% 1% 6%
Feb 2018 11% 20% 45% 15% 2% 1% 6%
Jan 2018 13% 21% 43% 15% 3% * 5%
Dec 2017 8% 20% 48% 14% 5% 4% 1%
Nov 2017 10% 15% 54% 12% 7% 1% 1%
Oct 2017 10% 17% 51% 105 6% 2% 4%

Among those saying they approve of the way Trump is handling his job, 84% say excellent, very good, or good and 14% say bad, very bad, or terrible. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job, 70% say very good, or good and 23% say bad, very bad, or terrible.

A total of 20% of Americans say they think the financial situations in their households are getting better, 48% say staying the same, and 25% say getting worse.

Household financial situation

Getting better

Staying the same

Getting worse

Undecided

Oct 2018 20% 48% 25% 7%
Sep 2018 18% 52% 23% 7%
Aug 2018 20% 52% 24% 4%
Jul 2018 20% 45% 31% 4%
Jun 2018 23% 44% 27% 6%
May 2018 21% 45% 28% 6%
Apr 2018 18% 48% 28% 6%
Mar 2018 21% 47% 27% 5%
Feb 2018 20% 46% 27% 7%
Jan 2018 18% 52% 22% 8%
Dec 2017 18% 53% 27% 2%
Nov 2017 18% 58% 21% 3%
Oct 2017 19% 56% 24% 1%

Among those saying they approve of the way Trump is handling his job, 45% say getting better, 37% say staying the same, and 10% say getting worse. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job, 2% say getting better, 59% say staying the same, and 35% say getting worse.

Looking to a year from now, 31% of Americans say that they think their household financial situations will be better than today, 31% say the same as today, and 29% say worse than today.

Household financial situation a year from now

Better than today

The same as today

Worse than
today

Undecided

Oct 2018 31% 31% 29% 9%
Sep 2018 23% 37% 30% 10%
Aug 2018 24% 42% 26% 8%
Jul 2018 26% 43% 27% 4%
Jun 2018 31% 40% 23% 6%
May 2018 29% 39% 26% 6%
Apr 2018 22% 40% 29% 9%
Mar 2018 29% 36% 25% 10%
Feb 2018 27% 34% 27% 12%
Jan 2018 26% 39% 23% 12%
Dec 2017 24% 38% 31% 7%
Nov 2017 27% 42% 29% 2%
Oct 2017 26% 36% 33% 5%

Among those saying they approve of the way Trump is handling his job, 63% say better than today, 20% say the same as today, and 10% say worse than today. Among those saying they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job, 5% say better than today, 41% say the same as today, and 44% say worse than today.


About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting national surveys of consumers since 1985.

Sample Size: 1,100 completed interviews among a random sample of all adults age 18 and older living in households in the continental United States (see methodology for details). There were 260 Republicans, 351 Democrats, 391 independents, and 98 non-voters in the sample.

Sample Dates: October 17-20, 2018

Margin of Error: 3 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording and Order:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the economy?

How do you rate the condition of the national economy these days - would you say it is excellent, very good, good, bad, very bad, or terrible?

Do you think the national economy is getting better, staying the same, or getting worse?

Would you say that the national economy is in a recession, or not?

A year from now, do you expect the national economy to be better than it is today, the same as it is today, or worse than it is today?

How do you rate the condition of the financial situation in your household - would you say it is excellent, very good, good, bad, very bad, or terrible?

Do you think the financial situation in your household is getting better, staying the same, or getting worse?

A year from now, do you expect the financial situation in your household to be better than it is today, the same as it is today, or worse than it is today?

 

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